Sunday, January 31, 2010

Bankers besieged at World Economic Forum for role in global financial crisis

NOT so long ago, financiers ruled the roost at the glitzy annual gathering of the global economic elite in Davos, amid the Swiss Alps. At this year's gathering of the World Economic Forum, the unofficial theme seems to be, "First, kill all the bankers".

The ire directed at bankers from all sides is palpable, acknowledged Donald Moore, chairman of Morgan Stanley in Europe, as he stood alone reading some charts amidst the hubbub at the forum's Global Village cafe. Asked which other groups of people have been similarly unpopular in Davos in the past, he said: “Terrorists.”

The quip reflects the mounting alarm with which bankers have come to view their besieged profession - even in Davos, a usually cozy gathering.
The scorn poured on the industry at this year's get-together in the Swiss ski resort is a sign of a mounting international backlash against the financial sector. Popular anger about banks' role in the financial crisis, and their behaviour in its aftermath, has spilled over to the world's elite business executives, politicians and regulators. Since gathering here Wednesday, they have been aiming sometimes bitter recriminations at the tainted masters of the banking universe.
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"I think that the relationship between government and banks has changed irreversibly," said Peter Sands, group chief executive of Standard Chartered Bank and a co-chair of the Davos meeting. "I think the banks have not helped themselves at all. We have been tone deaf, and shot ourselves in the foot," he said, adding, "We all need a little humility."
Such servings of humble pie are just a taste of a political atmosphere that has turned poisonous for banks. Many bankers are keeping a low profile, preferring private meetings to appearances on discussion panels. Under rising pressure, some bankers are even turning on their peers.
On the fringes of one of the many showy events that host the real business of Davos, a senior London-based investment banker offered this wager: Lloyd Blankfein, CEO of Goldman Sachs, would be out within two years, he said, and he was prepared to back up his bet with millions of pounds.

Mr Blankfein isn't the only target of anti-banker anger. But he presides over the world's most successful investment bank. Goldman has emerged from the financial crisis stronger than ever. And Mr Blankfein has been among the most outspoken public defenders of banks and he has paid his bankers well, though the level of bonuses was cut in the last round.

Asked about the wager over Mr Blankfein, Goldman spokesman Lucas van Praag said: "It is preposterous that The Wall Street Journal would even consider publishing such effluent."
Support is growing among governments and regulators for a more aggressive clampdown on banks' practices than looked likely only a few weeks ago. Proposals for tough new taxes and rules from the US, U.K. and other governments are feeding a growing determination among officials on both sides of the Atlantic not to let the financial sector off lightly, after banks' losses nearly caused a global economic crash.
Relief about the easing of the economic crisis is giving way to demands for far-reaching change, dismissals of banks' objections, and questioning of the value of many financial sector activities.
Top bankers, including Deutsche Bank chief executive Josef Ackermann, were due to meet behind closed doors with finance ministers, central bankers and regulators from major economies in Davos today in an attempt to win a reprieve.
"We should stop the blame game and we should start looking forward," Mr Ackermann said overnight in the Alps setting, arguing that a plethora of new taxes and proposals is damaging the banking sector
"If you don't have a strong financial sector to support the recovery, you're making a huge mistake and you will regret that later on," he said.
One European bank chairman complained that the organisers of the conference have invited too many politicians and regulators to what was formerly a friendly get-together for the business elite.
At times the atmosphere has turned downright hostile, say some. French President Nicholas Sarkozy delivered a populist broadside in the keynote address to officially open the meeting.
"There is indecent behaviour that will no longer be tolerated by public opinion in any country of the world," Mr Sarkozy told the conference. "That those who create jobs and wealth may earn a lot of money is not shocking. But that those who contribute to destroying jobs and wealth also earn a lot of money is morally indefensible," Mr Sarkozy said
A widespread view heard here is that banks have brought much of the anger upon themselves, by appearing to return to a culture of taking high risks and dishing out lavish pay as soon as they were out of intensive care.
"I think banks have misjudged the deep feelings of the public regarding the devastating effects of the crisis," said Guillermo Ortiz, until recently Mexico's central bank governor.

Bankers from outside the US, where the bonuses and risk-taking have traditionally been greatest, complain that all bankers are being tarred as villains. Even banks that acted conservatively face new regulations that could make doing business more complicated and costly.
"The banks who stayed strong are angry at the banks who had poor management," said Robert Diamond, president of the British bank Barclays, at a debate on rethinking financial-systemic risk
"I've seen no evidence that shrinking banks and making banks more narrow is the answer," Mr Diamond said, criticising the US proposals.
If regulators try to eliminate the risk of banking crises entirely, said Alessandro Profumo, chief executive of Italian lender Unicredit, the result will be "a very inefficient system, and I think we are moving towards that”.
That argument is falling on deaf ears at Davos. Jean-Claude Trichet, the president of the European Central Bank, said that the financial crisis has fundamentally changed the relationship between the banks and government because taxpayer money was used to rescue the financial system.
"We were very close to a full fledged Depression had the government not stepped in," said Mr Trichet. "We put taxpayer money at risk to guarantee loans at banks ... a gigantic amount."

Deutsche Bank's Mr Ackermann on Thursday held lengthy private talks with more than 30 top bankers on the edge of the Davos conference, to agree on a common line for today's encounter with government officials.
The hope was that a constructive offer to regulators will take some of the heat off banksThe talks lasted five hours, but the group struggled to find common ground.
"We've tried before, but we aren't going to be able to come up with an agreement," said one of Europe's top investment bankers: "We're too competitive with one another. One group enjoying the bankers' pain at the global capitalism fest in Davos is the trade-union movement.

"We were never sure if we were really welcome here. This time, we are speaking on panels, we have a seat at the table," said Philip Jennings, general secretary of the UNI Global Union. Now, bankers are "at the bottom of the totem pole”.
“They've been rumbled."
additional reporting by Emma Moody

Queensland city launches Australia-India 'harmony' website

MELBOURNE: Amid strains in Indo-Australia ties due to a spate of attacks on Indian students, a city in Queensland has launched a "harmony" website
aimed at telling "a lot of great stories" about the bilateral relations and facilitating people of the two countries to share their experiences.
The Aussie-India Harmony website has been established by Ipswich in conjunction with Indian IT services company Dhanush InfoTech, which recently set up its regional headquarters in the city suburb of Springfield, southwest of Brisbane.
People of both nations could use the Aussie-India Harmony forum as a platform to voice their feelings through posting good and positive comments and shared experiences, Ipswich Mayer Paul Pisasale said.
Negative events involving Indians have overshadowed the many positive personal and business relations between the two countries, he said, referring to the attacks on Indians in Australia.
"This (the website) is about making sure we tell a lot of great stories of Australia-India relations," Pisasale said.
"All this negative stuff that's happening has to be nipped in the bud. It doesn't reflect what Australia is all about. Australia is a wonderful country that embraces multiculturalism, and the website's all about working together for peace and harmony," Pisasale said.
Over 100 incidents of attacks on Indians, particularly students, were reported in 2009 in Australia and the assaults have continued this year unabated.
21-year-old Nitin Garg, who was stabbed to death by unidentified assailants while he was on his way to his part-time job in a restaurant here, was the first victim of such assaults this year.
The Australian government had given a dossier on the attacks to India, which showed that nearly half of the assailants had been juveniles. Under pressure from India, Australia also set up a high-level ministerial working group to comprehensively study the slew of attacks on Indians in the country.
PTI, 31 January 2010

Manufacturer grows marketshare to 39%, handset sales up year on year

Nokia has reported a 65% rise in profits for the fourth quarter ended 31 December.The manufacturer shipped 127 million phones – an increase of 12% year on year. It shipped approximately 4.6 million Nseries devices and 6.1 million Eseries devices during theperiod.Device sales increased globally overall, but there was a decline in sales in Europe, Latin America and North America. The manufacturer increased handset sales in emerging markets such as China, Middle East, Africa and Asia Pacific.

Nokia estimated that its market share had increased by 2% from 37% to 39%, compared to the same period last year. Nokia CEO, Olli-Peka Kallasvuo said: ‘We grew our market share in smartphones in the fourth quarter, driven by the successful launch of new touch and QWERTY models. ‘Our performance in smartphones, combined with continuing success in emerging markets, helped us increase sales in our devices and services unit, both quarter-on-quarter and year-on-year.’Nokia has reported a 65% rise in profits for the fourth quarter ended 31 December. The manufacturer shipped 127 million phones – an increase of 12% year on year. It shipped approximately 4.6 million Nseries devices and 6.1 million Eseries devices during theperiod. Device sales increased globally overall, but there was a decline in sales in Europe, Latin America and North America.
The manufacturer increased handset sales in emerging markets such as China, Middle East, Africa and Asia Pacific.Nokia estimated that its market share had increased by 2% from 37% to 39%, compared to the same period last year.Nokia CEO, Olli-Peka Kallasvuo said: ‘We grew our market share in smartphones in the fourth quarter, driven by the successful launch of new touch and QWERTY models. ‘Our performance in smartphones, combined with continuing success in emerging markets, helped us increase sales in our devices and services unit, both quarter-on-quarter and year-on-year.’







Friday, January 29, 2010

Japan urges Toyota to secure consumer confidence

TOKYO (AP) -- Japan's trade minister urged Toyota Motor Corp. to secure the confidence of car buyers in the wake of massive global recalls.
"The scale of the recalls is huge. The situation is serious. It points to the possible dangers a global economy can bring," Trade Minister Masayuki Naoshima told reporters Friday.
"I would like Toyota to respond properly to secure consumer confidence."
Toyota, the world's largest automaker, has recalled over 5 million vehicles in the U.S. over problems with gas pedals and floor mats. The figure accounts for models affected by more than one recall.
This week it announced the suspension of U.S. sales of eight models -- including the Camry, America's top-selling car -- to fix faulty gas pedals that could stick and cause acceleration without warning.
Toyota issued last week a recall for the same eight models, affecting 2.3 million vehicles.
The sales suspension in the U.S. -- Toyota's biggest market -- could dent the company's fledgling earnings recovery. Toyota only returned to the black for the July-September quarter with net income of 21.8 billion yen ($241 million) after three straight losing quarters.
Toyota spokesman Paul Nolasco said Friday the company has yet to determine how long the sales suspension will continue.
"We have yet to determine the best way to address the situation. We are working very hard to come up with the best solution," he said.
In China, Toyota also recalled 75,500 vehicles for the same acceleration pedal problem.
The auto giant also said it would recall vehicles in Europe due to the accelerator problem, but said the number of recalled vehicles has yet to be determined.
(This version corrects the number of recalled vehicles in the (US)

RBI hikes CRR by 75 bps to 5.75% in two stages

The Reserve Bank of India has hiked its cash reserve ratio by 75 bps to 5.75% as against 5% at its credit policy meet today. (100 basis points=1%) A CNBC-TV18 poll had forecasted a 50 bps CRR hike.The move will be implemented in two stages. The first 50 bps hike will come into effect on February 13 while the next 25 bps hike will be effective February 27. The move will result in a mop-up of Rs 36,000 crore by February end. The central bank has left unchanged the reverse repo, repo, and bank rate at 3.25%, 4.75%, and 6% respectively.
Rationale for the hike:
D Subbarao, Governor, RBI, says the confidence in recovery justifies reversing the expansionary policy. He acknowledged that the recovery yet to fully take hold. "The policy at current levels was more consistent with the crisis situation. Our interest rate stance will balance price stability and support growth" Industrial production in November 2009 grew at 11.7%, the fastest in the last two years.
Expected Outcomes
- Reduction in excess liquidity will help anchor inflationary expectations.
- The recovery process will be supported without compromising price stability.
- The calibrated exit will align policy instruments with the current and evolving state of the economy.
Road ahead:
The governor says it necessary to carry forward the process of exit further. But was quick to add that strong anti-inflationary steps may undermine the recovery process. The Monetary Policy for 2010-11 will be announced on April 20.
GDP forecast:
It has revised its FY11 growth forecast of 7.5% from 6% earlier. The forecast assumes 0% agricultural growth and continued recovery in industry services.
Inflation:
The March-end inflation forecast has been upped to 8.5% from 6.5%. The governor has promised to respond to inflation swiftly via policy adjustments.
Growth forecasts scaled lower:
Credit growth forecast has been lowered to 16% from 18%. Deposit growth expectation has also been downsized to 16% from 18%. M3 growth forecast has been revised to 16.5% from 17%
Bankers say that even if the CRR is raised, they have no leeway to raise rates because nobody is demanding money much these days